Intermediate
Performance Measures

Performance Goals

Health System Regulation

Regulation encompasses the rules, standards, and enforcement mechanisms that governments use to shape healthcare market behavior. Effective regulation corrects market failures — information asymmetry, externalities, and natural monopolies — that prevent healthcare markets from functioning efficiently on their own. Regulatory design must balance protecting patients and ensuring quality against the costs of compliance and the risk of stifling innovation.

Regulation: Quality & Safety

Regulation: Market & Price

Empirical Evidence

Do Doctors Practice Defensive Medicine?
Kessler & McClellan (1996) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · United States
Instrumental variables using state-level tort reform adoption (direct reforms limiting liability vs. indirect reforms) applied to Medicare claims data (1984-1990).

States adopting direct tort reforms (caps on damages, collateral source reform) reduced hospital expenditures by 5-9% within 3-5 years without measurable increases in adverse outcomes. Defensive medicine — treatment intensity driven by liability fear rather than clinical need — accounted for a substantial share of cardiac treatment costs.

Does Removing Certificate-of-Need Regulations Lead to a Surge in Health Care Spending?
Conover & Sloan (1998) · Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law · United States
Panel regression analysis comparing health expenditure trends in states that repealed CON laws vs. states that retained them (1980s-1990s).

States that removed CON regulations did not experience significant increases in per-capita health spending compared to states retaining CON. There was little evidence that CON effectively constrained health spending or facility investment, and some evidence that CON protected incumbent providers from beneficial competition.

Does Regulation Drive Out Competition in Pharmaceutical Markets?
Danzon & Chao (2000) · The Journal of Law and Economics · Multi-country (25 countries)
Cross-country regression analysis of pharmaceutical price levels and market structure across countries with different regulatory regimes.

Countries with stringent direct price controls had lower launch prices but also fewer available products and delayed market entry of new drugs. Reference pricing (using prices in other countries as benchmarks) was associated with lower prices without the same access delays. Overly restrictive regulation reduced generic competition and pharmaceutical market entry.

Hospital Nurse Staffing and Patient Mortality, Nurse Burnout, and Job Dissatisfaction
Aiken et al. (2002) · JAMA · United States
Risk-adjusted cross-sectional analysis linking nurse-to-patient ratios to 30-day mortality and failure-to-rescue rates.

Each additional patient per nurse was associated with a 7% increase in the likelihood of patient death within 30 days and a 7% increase in failure-to-rescue. Hospitals with the highest patient-to-nurse ratios (1:8) had 31% higher risk-adjusted mortality than those with the lowest ratios (1:4).

Is More Information Better? The Effects of 'Report Cards' on Health Care Providers
Dranove et al. (2003) · Journal of Political Economy · United States
Difference-in-Differences comparing cardiac surgery outcomes and treatment patterns in report-card states vs. control states using national Medicare data.

Report cards led to significant provider selection behavior ('cream-skimming'): surgeons and hospitals shifted away from sicker, higher-risk patients. On net, report cards were associated with worse health outcomes, particularly for sicker patients, and higher resource use.

Effectiveness and efficiency of guideline dissemination and implementation strategies
Grimshaw et al. (2004) · Health Technology Assessment · Multi-country
Systematic review of 235 studies evaluating guideline dissemination and implementation strategies, including RCTs, controlled before-after studies, and interrupted time series.

Multifaceted interventions combining educational outreach, reminders, and audit-and-feedback produced the most consistent behavior change. Passive guideline dissemination alone had minimal effect. Median absolute improvement in care processes ranged from 6-10% for active implementation strategies. No single strategy was reliably superior across all settings.

How Do Hospitals Respond to Price Changes?
Dafny (2005) · American Economic Review · United States
Natural experiment exploiting diagnosis-specific price shocks to identify hospital behavioral responses.

Hospitals responded primarily through 'upcoding' — reclassifying patients to diagnosis codes associated with the largest reimbursement increases — garnering an estimated $330–$425 million in extra annual reimbursement. Response was strongest among for-profit hospitals. Little evidence of changes in admissions volume or clinical intensity.

An overview of reviews evaluating the effectiveness of financial incentives in changing healthcare professional behaviours and patient outcomes
Flodgren et al. (2011) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · Multi-country
Overview of systematic reviews covering accreditation, external inspection, and audit programs across multiple countries and healthcare settings.

Evidence for the effectiveness of external inspection and accreditation on quality outcomes was inconsistent. While accreditation promoted implementation of organizational processes and standards, direct links to improved patient outcomes were difficult to establish. The strongest effects were on process measures and organizational compliance rather than clinical outcomes.

Death by Market Power: Reform, Competition, and Patient Outcomes in the National Health Service
Gaynor, Moreno-Serra & Propper (2013) · American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · England
Difference-in-Differences exploiting pre-reform variation in market concentration driven by historical hospital locations.

Hospitals in less competitive (more concentrated) markets had significantly higher death rates before the reform; after patient choice was expanded, outcomes converged. Competition saved lives without raising costs.

How Does Risk Selection Respond to Risk Adjustment? New Evidence from the Medicare Advantage Program
Brown et al. (2014) · American Economic Review · United States
Regression discontinuity and difference-in-differences exploiting the 2004 MA risk adjustment reform.

Improved risk adjustment reduced favorable selection into MA plans by 15–20%. However, plans responded to the new formula by intensifying diagnostic coding — upcoding increased, with MA enrollees showing 6–16% higher risk scores than comparable fee-for-service beneficiaries, representing billions in excess payments.

The Impact of Competition on Management Quality: Evidence from Public Hospitals
Bloom et al. (2015) · The Review of Economic Studies · England
Instrumental variables using political marginality of parliamentary constituencies (governments avoid closing hospitals in swing seats, creating exogenous variation in hospital density).

Adding a rival hospital increased management quality by approximately 0.4 standard deviations and increased emergency AMI survival rates by 9.7%. The causal chain runs: competition → better management → better outcomes. Government-owned hospitals scored significantly lower on management than private ones.

The Influence of Cost-Effectiveness and Other Factors on NICE Decisions
Dakin et al. (2015) · Health Economics · England
Logistic regression analysis of 478 NICE appraisal decisions, modeling the relationship between incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and approval probability.

Technologies with ICERs below 20,000 GBP per QALY were almost always recommended; those above 30,000 GBP per QALY were frequently rejected. However, NICE also systematically weighted other factors: severity of condition, availability of alternatives, and innovation. End-of-life treatments received higher effective thresholds. The implicit threshold was approximately 20,000–30,000 GBP per QALY.

Nurses as Substitutes for Doctors in Primary Care
Laurant et al. (2018) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · Multi-country
Systematic review and meta-analysis of 18 RCTs across multiple countries (Australia, Canada, Netherlands, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, UK, USA).

Nurse-led primary care produced equivalent or better health outcomes compared to physician-led care for a wide range of conditions. Patient satisfaction was equal or higher with nurse-led care. Consultations were longer but generated similar numbers of prescriptions, investigations, and referrals. No evidence of worse outcomes for any condition studied.